Modelled projections of habitat for commercial fish around North-western Europe under climate change, 2020 to 2060

Environmental Niche Model (ENM) outputs for 49 commercial fish species under climate change until the decade of 2060 around northwestern Europe. A model ensemble of 5 ENMs was used (MaxEnt, Generalised Linear Models, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest and BIOCLIM ), and projections were made under three different emission scenarios: A1B, RCP4.5 and RCP 8.5. The data shows model agreement (normalised to 1) for presence/absence decadal projections from 2020 to 2060. Additionally we provide data on model performance, with the Area Under the Curve (AUC) scores of the Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve for each of the 5 ENMs trained for each combination of fish species and emission scenario. Only ENMs with an AUC score of at least 0.7 were considered.

Data and resources

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Additional information

Temporal extent	2006-07-03 – 2065-01-01
Date (creation)	2024-06-05
Status	onGoing
Update frequency	asNeeded
Metadata language	en
License	Open Government License <http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/>
Source metadata	ISO 19115 XML
Last updated	2026-11-04
Created	2026-11-04
API	package_show